The British Academy Film Awards, commonly known as BAFTA (or the British Oscars) revealed their nominees for the 2014 calendar year earlier this week Leading the pack was Wes Anderson’s The Grand Budapest Hotel with 11 nominations. Awards-bait Stephen Hawking biopic The Theory of Everything was close behind with 10 nods but Selma, the civil rights drama came up empty once again. Not a single nomination! Zilch. Its absence among the slate of nominees is troubling because historically, the BAFTAs tend to be the best bellwether for success with the Academy. They were the first group to predict The Dark Knight snub in 2008, they were the first to predict the strength of The King’s Speech and The Artist in 2010 and 2011 respectively. And just last year, they were the first to throw nominations to Christian Bale, Amy Adams and Leonardo DiCaprio. They also gave Gravity 11 nominations (Oscar went with 10). Cuaron’s film won six (the same ones at the Oscars) while eventual Best Picture Oscar winner 12 Years a Slave won two BAFTAs, including best film.
So what does this mean for next Thursday’s Oscar nominations? Some thoughts below. The BAFTAs will be announced on February 8 at a ceremony in London hosted once again by Stephen Fry.
Here is the full list of the 2015 BAFTA awards nominees:
Birdman Alejandro G. Inarritu, John Lesher, James W. Skotchdopole
Boyhood Richard Linklater, Cathleen Sutherland
The Grand Budapest Hotel Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales, Jeremy Dawson
The Imitation Game Nora Grossman, Ido Ostrowsky, Teddy Schwarzman
The Theory of Everything Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten
I knew that the two British biopics—The Theory of Everything and The Imitation Game—were very strong contenders but this only solidifies their place with the Academy. However, it seems to me that the Oscar race is coming down to Boyhood, Birdman and most delightful of all, The Grand Budapest Hotel.
OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
’71 Yann Demange, Angus Lamont, Robin Gutch, Gregory Burke
The Imitation Game Morten Tyldum, Nora Grossman, Ido Ostrowsky, Teddy Schwarzman, Graham Moore
Paddington Paul King, David Heyman
Pride Matthew Warchus, David Livingstone, Stephen Beresford
The Theory of Everything James Marsh, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten
Under the Skin Jonathan Glazer, James Wilson, Nick Wechsler, Walter Campbell
This category has no correlation with Oscar because there isn’t an equivalent category but it’s nice to see Jonathan Glazer’s Under the Skin and Pride chalked up here alongside the traditional awards darlings. Paddington is definitely a surprise while ’71 only opens here in April.
Big Hero 6 Don Hall, Chris Williams
The Boxtrolls Anthony Stacchi, Graham Annable
The Lego Movie Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
Only three nominees, and none of them include How to Train Your Dragon 2, the year’s best animated feature. This should be another easy victory for The Lego Movie. All three are guaranteed Oscar nominees, whose field includes five nominees.
Birdman Alejandro G. Inarritu
Boyhood Richard Linklater
The Grand Budapest Hotel Wes Anderson
The Theory of Everything James Marsh Damien Chazelle
Whiplash Damien Chazelle
James Marsh??? I sincerely hope this is one of BAFTA’s silly quirks because nothing about this film screams great direction to me. I’ve already gone to bat for Selma but where is Ava DuVernay? Additionally, Morten Tyldum’s absense here is troubling for The Imitation Game‘s chances at the big prize. Wes Anderson is looking really, really strong for that first Best Director Oscar nomination, and that’s a great thing. Here’s hoping he nets his first DGA nomination on Tuesday, before Thursday.
Birdman Alejandro G. Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris Jr, Armando Bo
Boyhood Richard Linklater
The Grand Budapest Hotel Wes Anderson
Nightcrawler Dan Gilroy
Whiplash Damien Chazelle
Once again, no Selma, but I’m already over it. Whiplash has been deemed an Adapted screenplay by the Academy so we’ll see whether it shows up in that category on Thursday morning or whether it’ll miss out because of category confusion. Nightcrawler showing up here is a big win, especially over films like A Most Violent Year and Foxcatcher.
American Sniper Jason Hall
Gone Girl Gillian Flynn
The Imitation Game Graham Moore
Paddington Paul King
The Theory of Everything Anthony McCarten
Ignore Paddington. It’s not eligible for Oscar. I think the other four look solid for Oscar, with Whiplash taking that fifth spot at the expense of Wild and Inherent Vice, unfortunately.
Benedict Cumberbatch The Imitation Game
Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
Jake Gyllenhaal Nightcrawler
Michael Keaton Birdman
Ralph Fiennes The Grand Budapest Hotel
Woah! Ralph Fiennes makes the cut! Could he be that surprise Best Actor nominee on Thursday morning? It’s quite possible. This category remains a eight person race, with the above five, plus Selma’s David Oyelowo, American Sniper’s Bradley Cooper and Foxcatcher’s Steve Carrel fighting for those last two spots with Fiennes and Gyllenhaal. Carell, by the way, got curiously notched up for Best Supporting Actor. That’s where he should have been campaigned in the first place, but vanity prevails.
Amy Adams Big Eyes
Felicity Jones The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore Still Alice
Reese Witherspoon Wild
Rosamund Pike Gone Girl
Amy Adams takes the place of Jennifer Aniston in Cake. Will she do the same on Thursday? I’m tempted to say yes, what with the Weinstein Company behind the film and all, but Aniston’s film wasn’t eligible for the BAFTA so I can’t say if she would have made the cut had she been eligible.
Edward Norton Birdman
Ethan Hawke Boyhood
J.K. Simmons Whiplash
Mark Ruffalo Foxcatcher
Steve Carell Foxcatcher
Here’s where Carell pops up, and it’s the category where he should have been in the first place. It’s unlikely to happen on Oscar morning, and I think Robert Duvall still gets in for The Judge—a movie nobody has really seen.
Emma Stone Birdman
Imelda Staunton Pride
Keira Knightley The Imitation Game
Patricia Arquette Boyhood
Rene Russo Nightcrawler
Rene Russo! Wow! And over Meryl Streep and Jessica Chastain too. I have a feeling she’s going to surprise us on Oscar morning with a nomination here. She’s beloved in the industry and she’s a veteran at that. Imelda Staunton won’t make the cut for Pride, that’s for sure, but either Chastain or Streep is missing out, if Russo gets in.
Birdman Antonio Sanchez
The Grand Budapest Hotel Alexandre Desplat
Interstellar Hans Zimmer
The Theory of Everything Johann Johannsson
Under the Skin Mica Levi
The Birdman score makes it in here. It won’t repeat at the Oscars since its ineligible. I do hope that Mica Levi’s Under the Skin soundtrack makes the cut though. The other three seem like pretty safe locks.
Birdman Emmanuel Lubezki
The Grand Budapest Hotel Robert Yeoman
Ida Lukasz Zal, Ryzsard Lenczewski
Interstellar Hoyte van Hoytema
Mr. Turner Dick Pope
Ida and Interstellar take the places of Unbroken and The Imitation Game in this lineup that is otherwise identical to the American Society of Cinematographers Guild list. The Academy likes to nominate foreign films in this category but I don’t think Deakins will be denied. Hoyte Van Hoytema is still on shaky ground though.
Birdman Douglas Crise, Stephen Mirrione
The Grand Budapest Hotel Barney Pilling
The Imitation Game William Goldenberg
Nightcrawler John Gilroy
The Theory of Everything Jinx Godfrey
Whiplash Tom Cross
Where’s Boyhood. Talk about a bizarre oversight. Six nominees in this category with Nightcrawler once again making the cut. How strong is this film?
OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH ACTOR, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
Elaine Constantine (Writer/Director) Northern Soul
Gregory Burke (Writer), Yann Demange (Director) ’71
Hong Khaou (Writer/Director) Lilting
Paul Katis (Director/Producer), Andrew de Lotbiniere (Producer) Kajaki: The True Story
Stephen Beresford (Writer), David Livingstone (Producer) Pride
FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
Ida Pawel Pawlikowski, Eric Abraham, Piotr Dzieciol, Ewa Puszczynska
Leviathan Andrey Zvyagintsev, Alexander Rodnyansky, Sergey Melkumov
The Lunchbox Ritesh Batra, Arun Rangachari, Anurag Kashyap, Guneet Monga
Trash Stephen Daldry, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Kris Thykier
Two Days, One Night Jean-Pierre Dardenne, Luc Dardenne, Denis Freyd
The Lunchbox!!!! One of my favorite films of the year finally makes it on a list somewhere.
20 Feet From Stardom Morgan Neville, Caitrin Rogers, Gil Friesen
20,000 Days on Earth Iain Forsyth, Jane Pollard
Citizenfour Laura Poitras
Finding Vivian Maier John Maloof, Charlie Siskel
Virunga Orlando von Einsiedel, Joanna Natasegara
Last year’s Best Documentary Oscar winner 20 Feet from Stardom takes on this year’s frontrunner Citizenfour.
BIG EYES Rick Heinrichs, Shane Vieau
THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock
THE IMITATION GAME Maria Djurkovic, Tatiana MacDonald
INTERSTELLAR Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis
MR. TURNER Suzie Davies, Charlotte Watts
I enjoyed the production design of Big Eyes but I don’t see it scoring with the Academy. The other four seem like strong bets.
THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Milena Canonero
THE IMITATION GAME Sammy Sheldon Differ
INTO THE WOODS Colleen Atwood
MR. TURNER Jacqueline Durran
THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING Steven Noble
No complaints here.
MAKE-UP AND HAIR
THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Frances Hannon
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou, David White
INTO THE WOODS Peter Swords King, J. Roy Helland
MR. TURNER Christine Blundell, Lesa Warrener
THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING Jan Sewell
Guardians of the Galaxy probably has this in the bag.
AMERICAN SNIPER Walt Martin, John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff, Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
BIRDMAN Thomas Varga, Martin Hernández, Aaron Glascock, Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño
THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL Wayne Lemmer, Christopher Scarabosio, Pawel Wdowczak
THE IMITATION GAME John Midgley, Lee Walpole, Stuart Hilliker, Martin Jensen
WHIPLASH Thomas Curley, Ben Wilkins, Craig Mann
Whiplash popping up here shows real strength. Watch out for a nomination on Oscar morning.
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
DAWN OF THE PLANET OF THE APES Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Erik Winquist, Daniel Barrett
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY Stephane Ceretti, Paul Corbould, Jonathan Fawkner, Nicolas Aithadi
THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, R. Christopher White
INTERSTELLAR Paul Franklin, Scott Fisher, Andrew Lockley
X-MEN: DAYS OF FUTURE PAST Richard Stammers, Anders Langlands, Tim Crosbie, Cameron Waldbauer
Sub in X-Men: Days of Future Past with Godzilla and I think we have our Oscar lineup.
BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
THE BIGGER PICTURE Chris Hees, Daisy Jacobs, Jennifer Majka
MONKEY LOVE EXPERIMENTS Ainslie Henderson, Cam Fraser, Will Anderson
MY DAD Marcus Armitage
BRITISH SHORT FILM
BOOGALOO AND GRAHAM Brian J. Falconer, Michael Lennox, Ronan Blaney
EMOTIONAL FUSEBOX Michael Berliner, Rachel Tunnard
THE KÁRMÁN LINE Campbell Beaton, Dawn King, Tiernan Hanby, Oscar Sharp
SLAP Islay Bell-Webb, Michelangelo Fano, Nick Rowland
THREE BROTHERS Aleem Khan, Matthieu de Braconier, Stephanie Paeplow
EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)